Predicting The Winners are the 92nd Academy Awards

Here are my predicted winners for the 92nd Academy Awards:

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Best Picture

Ford v Ferarri
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Actor in a Leading Role

Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)

Actress in a Leading Role

Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
Renée Zellweger (Judy)

Actor in a Supporting Role

Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood)
Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)
Al Pacino (The Irishman)
Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Actress in a Supporting Role

Kathy Bates (Richard Jewel)
Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)
Florence Pugh (Little Women)
Margot Robbie (Bombshell)

Animated Feature Film

How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Klaus
Missing Link
Toy Story 4

Cinematography

The Irishman
Joker
The Lighthouse
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Costume Design

The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Directing

Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)
Sam Mendes (1917)
Todd Phillips (Joker)
Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

Documentary Feature

American Factory
The Cave
The Edge of Democracy
For Sama
Honeyland

Documentary Short

In the Absence
Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone
Life Overtakes Me
St. Louis Superman
Walk Run Cha-Cha

Film Editing

Ford v Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Parasite

International Feature Film

Corpus Christi
Honeyland
Les Misérables
Pain and Glory
Parasite

Makeup an Hairstyling

Bombshell
Joker
Judy
Maleficent: Mistress of Evil
1917

Music (Original Score)

Joker (Hildur Guðnadóttir)
Little Women (Alexandre Desplat)
Marriage Story (Randy Newman)
1917 (Thomas Newman)
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (John Williams)

Music (Original Song)

“I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away” (Toy Story 4)
“(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again” (Rocketman)
“I’m Standing With You” (Breakthrough)
“Into The Unknown” (Frozen 2)
“Stand Up” (Harriet)

Production Design

The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Short Film (Animated)

Dcera
Hair Love
Kitbull
Memorable
Sister

Short Film (Live Action)

Brotherhood
Nefta Football Club
The Neighbors’ Window
Saria
A Sister

Sound Editing

Ford v Ferrari
Joker
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Sound Mixing

Ad Astra
Ford v Ferrari
Joker
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Visual Effects

Avengers: Endgame
The Irishman
The Lion King
1917
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

The Irishman (Steve Zaillian)
Jojo Rabbit (Taika Waititi)
Joker (Todd Phillips & Scott Silver)
Little Women (Greta Gerwig)
The Two Popes (Anthony McCarten)

Writing (Original Screenplay)

Knives Out (Rian Johnson)
Marriage Story (Noah Baumbach)
1917 (Sam Mendes & Krysty Wilson-Cairns)
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Quentin Tarantino)
Parasite (Bong Joon-ho & Han Jin-won)

 

2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions (October 1st, 2019)

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Hey everyone, I forgot to post this yesterday, mainly because I actually added this as a permanent page on the site, which you can access any time from the sidebar of the homepage. I’ll be updating it intermittently, but as promised once a month I will post them on the site so you can all see what’s changed and what’s stayed the same as award season progresses. The September version of these predictions can be found here. Here are my predicted nominees as of October 1st in all non-short categories at the 2020 Academy Awards:

Picture

  1. Marriage Story
  2. Ford v Ferrari 
  3. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  4. The Irishman
  5. Little Women
  6. 1917
  7. Jojo Rabbit
  8. The Farewell
  9. Parasite
  10. Waves

Director

  1. Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story)
  2. Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
  3. Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  4. Sam Mendes (1917)
  5. Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

Actress

  1. Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
  2. Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
  3. Renée Zellweger (Judy)
  4. Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)
  5. Awkwafina (The Farewell)

Supporting Actress

  1. Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
  2. Annette Bening (The Report)
  3. Margot Robbie (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  4. Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)
  5. Zhao Shuzhen (The Farewell)

Actor

  1. Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
  2. Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  3. Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)
  4. Robert De Niro (The Irishman)
  5. Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Supporting Actor

  1. Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood)
  2. Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  3. Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)
  4. Sterling K. Brown (Waves)
  5. Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)

Adapted Screenplay

  1. Little Women (Greta Gerwig)
  2. Jojo Rabbit (Taika Waititi)
  3. The Irishman (Steven Zaillian)
  4. A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood (Micah Fitzerman-Blue & Noah Harpster)
  5. The Two Popes (Anthony McCarten)

Original Screenplay

  1. Marriage Story (Noah Baumbach)
  2. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Quentin Tarantino)
  3. Parasite (Bong Joon-ho & Han Jin-won)
  4. The Farewell (Lulu Wang)
  5. Knives Out (Rian Johnson)

Cinematography

  1. 1917 (Roger Deakins)
  2. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Robert Richardson)
  3. Ford v Ferrari (Phedon Papamichael)
  4. Ad Astra (Hoyte can Hoytema)
  5. A Hidden Life (Jörg Widmer)

Editing

  1. Ford v Ferrari (Andrew Buckland & John-Henry Butterworth)
  2. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Fred Raskin)
  3. 1917 (Lee Smith)
  4. The Irishman (Thelma Schoonmaker)
  5. Marriage Story (Jennifer Lane)

International Feature

  1. Parasite
  2. Pain and Glory
  3. Les Misérables
  4. Monos
  5. Ema

Documentary Feature

  1. Apollo 11
  2. Maiden
  3. The Cave
  4. Honeyland
  5. Knock Down The House

Animated Feature

  1. Toy Story 4
  2. Frozen 2
  3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
  4. The Addams Family
  5. Weathering With You

Production Design

  1. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  2. A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood
  3. The Irishman
  4. 1917
  5. Ad Astra

Costume Design

  1. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  2. Little Women
  3. Dolemite Is My Name
  4. Joker
  5. Rocketman

Makeup & Hairstyling

  1. Bombshell
  2. Dolemite Is My Name
  3.  Joker
  4. Little Women
  5. Rocketman

Visual Effects

  1. The Irishman
  2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
  3. The Lion King
  4. Avengers: Endgame
  5. Ad Astra

Sound Editing

  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Ad Astra
  4. The Irishman
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Sound Mixing

  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Ad Astra
  4. Judy
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Original Score

  1. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (John Williams)
  2. Marriage Story (Randy Newman)
  3. Little Women (Alexandre Desplat)
  4. Ford v Ferrari (Marco Beltrami)
  5. A Hidden Life (James Newton Howard)

Original Song

  1. Into The Unknown (Frozen 2)
  2. Spirit (The Lion King)
  3. Speechless (Aladdin)
  4. Glasgow (No Place Like Home) (Wild Rose)
  5. (I’m Gonna) Love Me Again (Rocketman)

Current tally (more than one nomination):

Once Upon A Time In Hollywood: 9
The Irishman: 8
Marriage Story: 8
1917: 7
Ad Astra: 5
Ford v Ferrari: 5
Little Women: 5
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker: 4
A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood: 3
The Farewell: 3
Joker: 3
Rocketman: 3
The Two Popes: 3
Dolemite Is My Name: 2
Frozen 2: 2
Jojo Rabbit: 2
The Lion King: 2
Parasite: 2
Waves: 2

 

 

2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions (September 1st, 2019)

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With the start of the fall film festivals, awards season is officially upon us! For someone like me, who gleefully obsesses over correctly predicting the outcomes of the Oscars every year (I was 16 for 24 last year, I can do better), this means initiating the first step: correctly predicting the nominations. It’s important to keep in mind that it is still very early. We still have five months to go until the actual ceremony, and three months of qualifying film releases left in 2019. So what, you might be wondering, are these predictions even based on? The answer is three things: “Buzz” (whatever the hell that means), gut feeling, and blind guessing.  I’m going to be posting an updated version of this list once a month between now and when the nominations are announced on a January 13th, 2020 live broadcast. A LOT can change between now and then, with under-the-radar releases surprising everyone, box office troubles or triumphs, and most importantly, what happens at the many awards ceremonies that are seen as Oscar success precursors (SAG, WGA, PGA, DGA, etc.).

This list was very hard to narrow down. When I began I had 22 films listed under Best Picture, and a minimum of 15 under each of the acting categories. But this list isn’t about listing every single possible contender in each of the categories, it’s about attempting to accurately pick what the nominees will actually be, so some difficult decisions had to be made. I was also thrown a few curveballs here and there, like discovering through some research that it looks like Tom Hanks might be competing in Supporting Actor instead of Lead for A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood (which seems ridiculous), but in these instances I placed them where it seems most likely that their names will be submitted, not where I think they should be. Also worthy of mention I think, is that this is not the list as I think it should look like (I certainly hope Gerwig and Heller get Director nods), this is simply my best prediction of what the nominations will be. As time goes on I’ll be adding the rest of the categories, probably starting with Cinematography, Editing, and Score. But for now, here’s the list:

Scott’s 2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions (September 1st, 2019)

Picture

  • 1917
  • Ford v. Ferrari
  • A Hidden Life
  • The Irishman
  • Just Mercy
  • Little Women
  • Marriage Story
  • Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  • Parasite
  • Waves

Director

  • Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story)
  • Bong Joon-Ho (Parasite)
  • Trey Edward Schults (Waves)
  • Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
  • Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)

Actress

  • Awkwafina (The Farewell)
  • Cynthia Evrio (Harriet)
  • Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
  • Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
  • Jodie Turner-Smith (Queen & Slim)

Supporting Actress

  • Annette Bening (The Report)
  • Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
  • Brie Larson (Just Mercy)
  • Margot Robbie (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  • Meryl Streep (The Laundromat)

Actor

  • Robert De Niro (The Irishman)
  • Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  • Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
  • Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Waves)
  • Michael B. Jordan (Just Mercy)

Supporting Actor

  • Alan Alda (Marriage Story)
  • Willem Dafoe (The Lighthouse)
  • Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)
  • Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood)
  • Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)

Adapted Screenplay

  • The Irishman
  • Jojo Rabbit
  • Just Mercy
  • The Laundromat
  • Little Women

Original Screenplay

  • The Farewell
  • Marriage Story
  • Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  • Parasite
  • Queen & Slim