2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions (October 1st, 2019)

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Hey everyone, I forgot to post this yesterday, mainly because I actually added this as a permanent page on the site, which you can access any time from the sidebar of the homepage. I’ll be updating it intermittently, but as promised once a month I will post them on the site so you can all see what’s changed and what’s stayed the same as award season progresses. The September version of these predictions can be found here. Here are my predicted nominees as of October 1st in all non-short categories at the 2020 Academy Awards:

Picture

  1. Marriage Story
  2. Ford v Ferrari 
  3. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  4. The Irishman
  5. Little Women
  6. 1917
  7. Jojo Rabbit
  8. The Farewell
  9. Parasite
  10. Waves

Director

  1. Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story)
  2. Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
  3. Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  4. Sam Mendes (1917)
  5. Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)

Actress

  1. Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
  2. Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
  3. Renée Zellweger (Judy)
  4. Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)
  5. Awkwafina (The Farewell)

Supporting Actress

  1. Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
  2. Annette Bening (The Report)
  3. Margot Robbie (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  4. Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)
  5. Zhao Shuzhen (The Farewell)

Actor

  1. Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
  2. Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  3. Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)
  4. Robert De Niro (The Irishman)
  5. Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)

Supporting Actor

  1. Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood)
  2. Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  3. Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)
  4. Sterling K. Brown (Waves)
  5. Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)

Adapted Screenplay

  1. Little Women (Greta Gerwig)
  2. Jojo Rabbit (Taika Waititi)
  3. The Irishman (Steven Zaillian)
  4. A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood (Micah Fitzerman-Blue & Noah Harpster)
  5. The Two Popes (Anthony McCarten)

Original Screenplay

  1. Marriage Story (Noah Baumbach)
  2. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Quentin Tarantino)
  3. Parasite (Bong Joon-ho & Han Jin-won)
  4. The Farewell (Lulu Wang)
  5. Knives Out (Rian Johnson)

Cinematography

  1. 1917 (Roger Deakins)
  2. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Robert Richardson)
  3. Ford v Ferrari (Phedon Papamichael)
  4. Ad Astra (Hoyte can Hoytema)
  5. A Hidden Life (Jörg Widmer)

Editing

  1. Ford v Ferrari (Andrew Buckland & John-Henry Butterworth)
  2. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood (Fred Raskin)
  3. 1917 (Lee Smith)
  4. The Irishman (Thelma Schoonmaker)
  5. Marriage Story (Jennifer Lane)

International Feature

  1. Parasite
  2. Pain and Glory
  3. Les Misérables
  4. Monos
  5. Ema

Documentary Feature

  1. Apollo 11
  2. Maiden
  3. The Cave
  4. Honeyland
  5. Knock Down The House

Animated Feature

  1. Toy Story 4
  2. Frozen 2
  3. How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
  4. The Addams Family
  5. Weathering With You

Production Design

  1. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  2. A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood
  3. The Irishman
  4. 1917
  5. Ad Astra

Costume Design

  1. Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  2. Little Women
  3. Dolemite Is My Name
  4. Joker
  5. Rocketman

Makeup & Hairstyling

  1. Bombshell
  2. Dolemite Is My Name
  3.  Joker
  4. Little Women
  5. Rocketman

Visual Effects

  1. The Irishman
  2. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
  3. The Lion King
  4. Avengers: Endgame
  5. Ad Astra

Sound Editing

  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Ad Astra
  4. The Irishman
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Sound Mixing

  1. 1917
  2. Ford v Ferrari
  3. Ad Astra
  4. Judy
  5. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker

Original Score

  1. Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (John Williams)
  2. Marriage Story (Randy Newman)
  3. Little Women (Alexandre Desplat)
  4. Ford v Ferrari (Marco Beltrami)
  5. A Hidden Life (James Newton Howard)

Original Song

  1. Into The Unknown (Frozen 2)
  2. Spirit (The Lion King)
  3. Speechless (Aladdin)
  4. Glasgow (No Place Like Home) (Wild Rose)
  5. (I’m Gonna) Love Me Again (Rocketman)

Current tally (more than one nomination):

Once Upon A Time In Hollywood: 9
The Irishman: 8
Marriage Story: 8
1917: 7
Ad Astra: 5
Ford v Ferrari: 5
Little Women: 5
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker: 4
A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood: 3
The Farewell: 3
Joker: 3
Rocketman: 3
The Two Popes: 3
Dolemite Is My Name: 2
Frozen 2: 2
Jojo Rabbit: 2
The Lion King: 2
Parasite: 2
Waves: 2

 

 

2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions (September 1st, 2019)

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With the start of the fall film festivals, awards season is officially upon us! For someone like me, who gleefully obsesses over correctly predicting the outcomes of the Oscars every year (I was 16 for 24 last year, I can do better), this means initiating the first step: correctly predicting the nominations. It’s important to keep in mind that it is still very early. We still have five months to go until the actual ceremony, and three months of qualifying film releases left in 2019. So what, you might be wondering, are these predictions even based on? The answer is three things: “Buzz” (whatever the hell that means), gut feeling, and blind guessing.  I’m going to be posting an updated version of this list once a month between now and when the nominations are announced on a January 13th, 2020 live broadcast. A LOT can change between now and then, with under-the-radar releases surprising everyone, box office troubles or triumphs, and most importantly, what happens at the many awards ceremonies that are seen as Oscar success precursors (SAG, WGA, PGA, DGA, etc.).

This list was very hard to narrow down. When I began I had 22 films listed under Best Picture, and a minimum of 15 under each of the acting categories. But this list isn’t about listing every single possible contender in each of the categories, it’s about attempting to accurately pick what the nominees will actually be, so some difficult decisions had to be made. I was also thrown a few curveballs here and there, like discovering through some research that it looks like Tom Hanks might be competing in Supporting Actor instead of Lead for A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood (which seems ridiculous), but in these instances I placed them where it seems most likely that their names will be submitted, not where I think they should be. Also worthy of mention I think, is that this is not the list as I think it should look like (I certainly hope Gerwig and Heller get Director nods), this is simply my best prediction of what the nominations will be. As time goes on I’ll be adding the rest of the categories, probably starting with Cinematography, Editing, and Score. But for now, here’s the list:

Scott’s 2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions (September 1st, 2019)

Picture

  • 1917
  • Ford v. Ferrari
  • A Hidden Life
  • The Irishman
  • Just Mercy
  • Little Women
  • Marriage Story
  • Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  • Parasite
  • Waves

Director

  • Noah Baumbach (Marriage Story)
  • Bong Joon-Ho (Parasite)
  • Trey Edward Schults (Waves)
  • Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
  • Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)

Actress

  • Awkwafina (The Farewell)
  • Cynthia Evrio (Harriet)
  • Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
  • Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
  • Jodie Turner-Smith (Queen & Slim)

Supporting Actress

  • Annette Bening (The Report)
  • Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
  • Brie Larson (Just Mercy)
  • Margot Robbie (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  • Meryl Streep (The Laundromat)

Actor

  • Robert De Niro (The Irishman)
  • Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)
  • Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
  • Kelvin Harrison Jr. (Waves)
  • Michael B. Jordan (Just Mercy)

Supporting Actor

  • Alan Alda (Marriage Story)
  • Willem Dafoe (The Lighthouse)
  • Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)
  • Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood)
  • Brad Pitt (Once Upon A Time In Hollywood)

Adapted Screenplay

  • The Irishman
  • Jojo Rabbit
  • Just Mercy
  • The Laundromat
  • Little Women

Original Screenplay

  • The Farewell
  • Marriage Story
  • Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
  • Parasite
  • Queen & Slim

Favourite Films of The Year (so far..) + Mid-Year Film Awards

MID

The start of July marks the halfway point of the year. I wanted to take a look back at what kind of year 2019 has been so far for film. At the end of each year I compile a list of my favourite films of the year and do my own personal awards, complete with nominations and winners in specific categories. For the mid-year review, we are going to do exactly that as if the year were ending today. I’ve included two films that technically came out after the halfway point, but I had seen them before I finalized this list and I couldn’t help myself from including them.

Scott’s Favourite Films of 2019 (so far..)
20. Spider-Man: Far From Home
19. Teen Spirit
18.  Under The Silver Lake
17. Late Night
16. Shazam!
15. The Beach Bum
14. Long Shot
13. Paddleton
12. I Am Mother
11. Toy Story 4
10. John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum
9. Fighting With My Family
8. Avengers: Endgame
7. Us
6. Climax
5. Her Smell
4. The Last Black Man In San Francisco
3. High Life
2. Booksmart
1. Midsommar

top 20 first half

And now we get to the awards. The official 2019 version of these awards will be taking place in January of next year, but I thought it would be interesting to take a look at what these awards look like now, that way we can compare and contrast and see what’s stood the test of time at the end of the year. If you’re interested in seeing last year’s nominations and winners, they can be found here and here.

The Nominations
In keeping with the format I used last year, I will be breaking the nominations down into the following 6 categories: Best Picture, Best Director, Best Performance By An Actress, Best Performance By An Actor, Best Screenplay, and Best Cinematography, with 5 nominees in each category (except Best Picture, which gets 10). At the end of the year I may decide to revamp this format, separating lead/supporting performances and original/adapted screenplays, and possibly adding the Best Editing category, amongst others. Here are the nominees:

Best Picture

  • Avengers: Endgame
  • Booksmart
  • Climax
  • Her Smell
  • High Life
  • John Wick: Chapter 3 – Parabellum
  • The Last Black Man In San Francisco
  • Midsommar
  • Toy Story 4
  • Us

Best Director

  • Ari Aster (Midsommar)
  • Claire Denis (High Life)
  • Alex Ross Perry (Her Smell)
  • Joe Talbot (The Last Black Man In San Francisco)
  • Olivia Wilde (Booksmart)

Best Performance By An Actor

  • Zac Efron (Extremely Wicked, Shockingly Evil and Vile)
  • Jonathan Majors (The Last Black Man In San Francisco)
  • Matthew McConaughey (The Beach Bum)
  • Robert Patinson (High Life)
  • Ray Romano (Paddleton)

Best Performance By An Actress

  • Juliette Binoche (High Life)
  • Kaitlyn Dever (Booksmart)
  • Elisabeth Moss (Her Smell)
  • Lupita Nyong’o (Us)
  • Florence Pugh (Midsommar)

Best Screenplay

  • Booksmart (Emily Halpern, Sarah Haskins, Susanna Fogel & Katie Silberman)
  • Her Smell (Alex Ross Perry)
  • High Life (Clair Denis, Jean-Pol Fargeau & Geoff Cox)
  • Midsommar (Ari Aster)
  • Us (Jordan Peele)

Best Cinematography

  • The Beach Bum (Benoit Debie)
  • High Life (Yorick Le Saux)
  • The Last Black Man In San Francisco (Adam Newport-Berra)
  • Midsommar (Pawel Pogorzelski)
  • Teen Spirit (Autumn Durald)

The Winners
For the official awards the nominations and winners will obviously not be announced simultaneously, but since this is just for fun and we’re only working with what will likely end up being less than half of the films I’ll see this year, I think we can go ahead and jump right into the winners. The winners of the 2019 Mid-Year Film Awards are:

Best Performance By An Actor
Winner: Robert Pattinson (High Life)
Runner Up: Jonathan Majors (The Last Black Man In San Francisco)

Best Performance By An Actress
Winner: Florence Pugh (Midsommar)
Runner Up: Elisabeth Moss (Her Smell)

Best Cinematography
Winner: Midsommar (Pawel Pogorzelski)
Runner Up: High Life (Yorick Le Saux)

Best Screenplay
Winner: High Life (Clair Denis, Jean-Pol Fargeau & Geoff Cox)
Runner Up: Her Smell (Alex Ross Perry)

Best Director
Winner: Ari Aster (Midsommar)
Runner Up: Claire Denis (High Life)

Best Picture
Winner: Midsommar
Runner Up: Booksmart

And there we have it! 2019 is off to a relatively promising start with a small handful of films that I absolutely adore, and we don’t even have to look ahead very far to see that this year still has a great chance of being a special one for film. In the next two months alone we’ll be getting The Farewell, The Art of Self Defense, Stuber, The Lion King, Once Upon A Time In Hollywood, Luce, Them That FollowBlinded By The Light, and Good Boys, amongst others. And fast-forward to the end of the year where we’ll be getting titles like Ad Astra, A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood, Ford v. Ferrari, Joker, ParasiteZombieland: Double Tap , and my personal most anticipated film for 2019’s second half, Greta Gerwig’s Little Women. And that doesn’t even really scratch the surface! You should revisit my 2019 Most Anticipated Films post if you’re curious what else is still set to come out this year.

Thank you all so much for checking out this post. Still to come, I’m going to be doing a 2010’s Decade Retrospective. Two posts a month from now until the end of the year, each one focusing on one year of the decade and examining all the notable films released that year. Should be fun! I’ll also continue posting periodic film reviews. No set schedule, just whenever I see a film that I feel compelled to write about, it’ll get posted here! My Twitter is located on the sidebar of this site, following me there would be the best place to get notified when a new post has gone up. Any feedback is welcomed and can be left down below or tweeted at me. Thanks again for reading and I hope you’ll be back!

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